- An increase in the minimum wage reduces employment opportunities. (David Neumark,Peter Shirley, Industrial Relations, April 2022, Peter Cove, Congressional Budget Office)
- The decrease in employment opportunities fall disproportionately on the workers with the least skills. (David Neumark,Peter Shirley, Industrial Relations, April 2022, Cato, Sep. 2021)
- The decrease in employment opportunities fall disproportionately on young and Black people. Lord help the person who is both young and black.
- Racism helped create the initial minimum wage legislation. (WSJ, Feb. 2021, Sowell, 2009, pp. 94-95, footnote deleted, WSJ, April 2022)
- A minority of the benefits of the minimum wage accrue to poor people. (Congressional Budget Office)
- An increase in the minimum wage leads to a decrease in other types of compensation. (AIE, June 2021)
- The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) is a more efficient way to help the working poor. (WSJ, Oct. 2020, Bloomberg, Oct. 2020)
I fear that the political will increase the minimum wage will continue.
- The minimum wage gives the appearance of doing something and politicians love to be able to claim that they have done something to solve a problem.
- Advocating for an increase in the minimum wage lets politicians posture that they care about poor people.
- An increase the minimum wage increases the demand for what Joe Biden calls "good union jobs" and unions are a primary base for funds and votes for Democrats.
- Politicians love power and the minimum wage puts them in charge.
- The job losses caused by the minimum wage are not obvious.
I also don't anticipate a surge of support for the actions I think are needed to improve the quality of education in low-performing school systems. Teachers and their unions and associations are another primary base for funds and votes for Democrats.
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